Sunday, August 23, 2026

Florida's Below-80 to Above-90 Graduation-Rate Group Grew From Eight Districts to 17

Seventeen of 34 Florida districts that began below 80% in 2016 finished above 90% in 2025, up from eight districts one year earlier.

Correction: The earlier version stopped at the 2024 data. This version includes the 2025 release, which expands the endpoint group from eight districts to 17 and updates every chart and cohort count.

Seventeen of the 34 Florida districts with complete records that began below an 80% graduation rate in 2016 finished above 90% in 2025. The same endpoint test identified eight districts in 2024, so the group more than doubled with the latest release.

The comparison uses 73 stable district IDs with complete data across 10 adjacent reporting years, from 2016 through 2025. Three partial or nonbaseline IDs are excluded because they do not have the full span. That fixed universe keeps a new or short-lived reporting unit from changing the denominator.

Every district in the 2025 endpoint group

District 2016 2025 Improvement Cohort (2025)
Florida School for the Deaf and the Blind 47.1% 93.5% +46.4pp 62
Putnam CountyET 63.6% 96.6% +33.0pp 673
Florida Virtual SchoolET 66.6% 97.0% +30.4pp 1,233
Jefferson CountyET 70.0% 92.7% +22.7pp 55
Walton CountyET 77.3% 97.5% +20.2pp 826
Holmes CountyET 72.4% 92.3% +19.9pp 234
Volusia CountyET 76.0% 95.6% +19.6pp 4,968
Pasco CountyET 79.1% 96.9% +17.8pp 6,159
Lake CountyET 78.1% 94.4% +16.3pp 3,592
Columbia CountyET 75.0% 90.7% +15.7pp 591
Duval CountyET 78.8% 94.3% +15.5pp 8,540
Citrus CountyET 79.0% 94.1% +15.1pp 1,077
Washington CountyET 76.3% 91.2% +14.9pp 249
Charlotte CountyET 77.4% 91.6% +14.2pp 1,482
Monroe CountyET 77.9% 91.9% +14.0pp 706
Broward CountyET 78.7% 91.4% +12.7pp 19,373
Hillsborough CountyET 79.1% 90.9% +11.8pp 16,893

The average improvement across the 17 districts was 20.0 percentage points.

Count of eligible districts above 90% in each reporting year

Nine districts changed the endpoint count

All eight districts that met the test in 2024 remained above 90% in 2025. Nine more joined them.

Four of those nine crossed above 90% for the first time in the available panel: Broward, Hillsborough, Jefferson and Washington. The other five had crossed earlier, later returned to 90% or below, and moved above the line again in 2025: Charlotte, Columbia, Holmes, Monroe, and the Florida School for the Deaf and the BlindET.

That distinction matters. The endpoint group describes where districts began and finished. It is not a count of first-time crossings, and it does not turn a path with reversals into a smooth climb.

Graduation-rate improvement by district

The result spans very different cohort sizes

The 2025 cohorts ranged from 55 students in Jefferson County to 19,373 in Broward County. Hillsborough reported 16,893 students in its cohort, Duval 8,540, Pasco 6,159 and Volusia 4,968. The endpoint pattern therefore appears in both small systems and several of Florida's larger reported district cohorts.

The range also cautions against treating each percentage-point change as the same operational event. A point in a small cohort and a point in a five-figure cohort represent different numbers of students, even though both rates meet the same endpoint rule.

2016 and 2025 graduation rates for the endpoint group

A threshold is a checkpoint, not an explanation

Thirteen of the 17 districts finished 2025 at their highest rate in the available panel. Columbia, Holmes, Monroe, and the Florida School for the Deaf and the Blind ended above 90% but below an earlier high.

Walton has the longest current run above the threshold: six consecutive reporting years from 2020 through 2025. Other districts crossed, fell back, and crossed again. The adjacent-year audit records every one of those direction changes before counting the final group.

The rates establish the outcome but not its cause. District practices remain an unresourced possible explanation, while cohort composition and reporting conditions are competing explanations that the graduation records alone cannot separate. The useful question for local leaders is whether the gains persist in later cohorts and which documented changes, if any, line up with that durability.

Graduation rates and cohort counts come from the Florida Department of Education's Federal Graduation Rate by Category files.

Detailed code that reproduces the analysis and figures in this article is available exclusively to EdTribune subscribers.

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